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Friday, 07 March 2008

The Democratic Delegate Game

[POLITICAL/ENVIRONMENTAL NOTE: Today is the final day to protest the"Berlin Wall" the Homeland Security Department intends to build on the border between Texas and Mexico. Cowtown Pattie has issued a plea for anyone who can or will to help with the protest. You will find the details at Pattie's blog, Texas Trifles.]

[HOUSEKEEPING NOTE: Late yesterday, I discovered in my junk mail folder a trove of unread, blog-related email dating back to January. I don't know how they got there, and I apologize for not responding. I will catch up with each of you as fast as I have time for.]

When Crabby Old Lady was a little girl, she and her playmates amused themselves with multitudes of games. Before they began each one, they established the rules by which they would play.

In Mother May I, you had to go back to the beginning if you took a step before asking, “Mother, may I?” In hopscotch, if a token landed on a line, you lost a turn. In croquet, God help anyone who got caught surreptitiously moving a ball or nudging it through a wicket.

In these games, Crabby and her friends learned life lessons about playing by the rules, the consequences of cheating and how to win fair and square. They also learned that there is always someone in the crowd who won’t play by the rules and ruins the game.

In politics, a game in which players have been known, in some countries, to kill for the win, some of the rules are made to be deliberately squishy so that they can “legally” be bent when the race is tight. And so we have, in United States presidential elections, the phenomenon of delegates.

Each of the two major parties controls its own delegate rules. This year, only the Democratic Party delegates are in contention and depending on how those rules come to be bent, it is possible that the nominee will be decided by an elite group of about 800 super-delegates, party officials and former elected officials who may vote for any candidate they individually choose. Even those who have already pledged their vote to a particular candidate are free to change their minds.

To make the game more complicated, the committed (also called pledged) delegates, those who represent the voice of the voters in state primaries, are allocated by different rules in each state including proportional to the vote, winner take all or whether the vote is through ballot or caucus or a combination of both. In some states – but only some - the committed delegates are required by law to vote for the candidate to whom they are pledged, but only on the first ballot should the selection go to the convention.

As difficult as all that is to sort out, there is a new twist this year. In an effort to gain greater media attention, Michigan and Florida moved up the date of their primaries. This enraged the Democratic Party leadership who announced that the delegates from those two states would not be counted in the final tally, effectively disenfranchising those voters.

Not fair, you may say, and you would be correct. But the fact is, the party has the right to make their own rules in regard to their own delegates just as Crabby and her friends had the right to control the rules of their games and once a game has begun, the rules may not be broken.

The final two Democratic candidates, Senators Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, are in a tight race now, so some people want to reinstate the Florida and Michigan delegates. But according to the lessons Crabby learned playing hopscotch and Mother May I, this is a travesty of game justice.

As anyone could guess since she won both states, Senator Clinton demanded that the Florida and Michigan delegates be counted. This is patently wrong. The vote was unfair in both states because

  1. Barack Obama’s name was not on the ballot in Michigan
  2. Barack Obama, knowing the Florida delegates would not be seated, did not campaign there

In Crabby Old Lady’s childhood world, Senator Clinton would have been shouted down when she tried to change the rules in the middle of the game and if she didn’t back off, she would have been thrown out. (In either case, Crabby's nemesis, big, mean Brenda who angered easily, would probably have given Clinton a bloody nose just for emphasis.)

The positions of those who have a stake in this year’s nomination game are changing fast. At first, Democratic Party Chairman Howard Dean said that rules are rules and the two states’ delegates would not be seated.

Senator Clinton countered with the idea of do-over primaries in Florida and Michigan, but the states cannot afford to pay for new elections and the Democratic National Committee would rather not, although it may, ante up money already allocated for the national campaign.

On Wednesday, Dean waffled a bit in saying that the Committee would consider proposals from the states to seat delegates, but he also said,

"The Democratic Nominee will be determined in accordance with party rules, and out of respect for the presidential campaigns and the states that did not violate party rules, we are not going to change the rules in the middle of the game.”
Huffington Post, 6 March 2008

Late Thursday, Senator Clinton said she would accept a primary do-over, but not a caucus do-over. Barack Obama’s campaign has said he will participate in any do-overs, but the decision to hold them is up to the Democratic National Party and the two states.

"We're going to abide by their rules as they exist now and whatever happens in the future," Obama campaign manager David Plouffe told reporters Wednesday.
Huffington Post, 6 March 2008

By the time you read this, positions may have changed. Crabby is hard-pressed to keep up with the latest yes-I-wills, no-we-won'ts in this crucial battle.

In a contest as close as this one, every state’s delegates are potential gold to the candidates. But even if they stick with the rules set up before the primaries, there remains the squishiness of the delegate pledge rules.

If only the Democratic Party elite had played hopscotch with Crabby and her friends - they understood how games are supposed to be played (and they never heard of do-overs).

[At The Elder Storytelling Place today, Rabon Saip tells us how he came to understand at least one of the consequences of Wartime.]

Posted by Crabby Old Lady at 06:26 AM | Permalink | Email this post

Comments

It sounds a bit like Lucy in Peanuts cartoon. She vows and promises and assures to hold the ball still this time. Once Charlie Brown is convinced of Lucy's guarantee he makes a run for it and, well we all know, she pulls it away again. Thus supporting the adage "Promises are made to be broken."

Posted by: Granny Annie on Mar 7, 2008 7:15:21 AM

On Point #2 (about Barak's not having campaigned in Floriday), was there not a party stricture against such campaigning? Perhaps my memory fails me on this.

Posted by: Cop Car on Mar 7, 2008 7:31:31 AM

Cop Car: In just two days, this argument has become so Byzantine that Crabby has no idea anymore.

If memory serves, and she could be wrong, Senator Clinton did campaign in Florida or, at least, had surrogates campaigning for her. If that is so, Crabby can't imagine why Senator Obama would be prevented from campaigning in Florida.

But like she said, Crabby is losing her grip on the twists and turns of this debate although what she does know is that neither primary was conducted fairly enough to include delegates from Michigan and Florida as they are currently allocated.

Posted by: Crabby Old Lady on Mar 7, 2008 7:57:53 AM

I like your analogy to children's games. It really is quite fitting. In my 'hood, "do overs" had to be proposed and agreed upon before the game started and were usually shouted down.

Posted by: Kay Dennison on Mar 7, 2008 8:13:03 AM

People say they don't like cheating, that they admire people who play by the rules, but time and again reward those who break them or are considered outlaws. If you look at the movies in the Oscars this year, it's all about bad people; so I think what people say they want turns out to not be what they reward. Most people don't even want to find out what is going on but as you said, even if they do want to keep track, it's almost impossible to do.

Posted by: Rain on Mar 7, 2008 9:36:45 AM

The Michigan primary was really a
*"^%#+=$. You had to ask for a Republican or Democratic ballot. I don't know about the Republicans, but the Democratic Party and ONLY the Democrats would then receive the names of those who voted, thus ensuring a bombardment of mail and phone ads
while other parties would be shut out. I didn't vote. I know that is disenfranchising myself but I don't believe anything any candidate says anyway.

Posted by: Estelle on Mar 7, 2008 9:45:56 AM

Right you are, Crabby. I've written up my version of this discussion here. If either of these people want to show they are ready to be President, they have to win the nomination without leaving the partisans of the other with the belief that they broke the rules. We get snippy about that.

Posted by: janinsanfran on Mar 7, 2008 10:25:33 AM

Wonderful analogy to kid's games and minds.

Is not the election process like this in every way? The winner of this amazingly important contest will be the most popular and likable person, chosen by people clamoring to play the political game, and not necessarily the person most qualified.

Posted by: Candace on Mar 7, 2008 11:22:17 AM

I think we have all had playmates such as "Lucy" in Peanuts in our childhood!

I agree - great analogy here, Crabby.

Surely the Clinton Camp understands this could backlash on them? America is tired of dirty political hijinks...and I HATE playing with someone who cheats by rule changing.

Where's my hopscotch rock? I have a wicked left arm fling...

Posted by: Cowtown Pattie on Mar 7, 2008 12:11:54 PM

Crabby wrote:

"If memory serves, and she could be wrong, Senator Clinton did campaign in Florida,or at least had surrogates campaigning for her"

Crabby, I live in Florida and I can guarantee you I heard not ONE campaign ad from either Hillary or Barack Obama. NO TV, Newspaper, radio,mailings...nothing..

Hillary did come to Florida AFTER the election and thanked everyone who gave her a very big victory, but she did not campaign ahead of the election..

Posted by: on Mar 7, 2008 1:12:19 PM

Crabby would like to thank Estelle in Michigan and someone nameless in Florida for helping to keep the record straight.

Posted by: Crabby Old Lady on Mar 7, 2008 1:58:48 PM

This is a sticky issue, perhaps what's known as a wicked problem - lots of conflicing no good answers. One point I can't resist making is that had Obama won Florida and Michigan I suspect that this would be the moment at which he'd be pushing to count them. Don't ya think?

Posted by: Judith Shapiro on Mar 7, 2008 2:56:43 PM

Can you explain to this outsider why Florida seems to be the country pumpkin cousin of a State, where fair play is ignored?

Posted by: lilalia on Mar 7, 2008 3:06:49 PM

I had something else to say, but then I read Judith Shapiro's comment.

I don't mean to be rude, but hypotheticals are time-honored smear tactics. The fact is, Senator Clinton is the one asking to be assigned the Florida and Michigan delegates, however unfair the primaries were, and failing that, now she even wants to set her own rules for a do-over.

Posted by: Jessie Landis on Mar 7, 2008 3:25:17 PM

What I had wanted to say is that I have been wavering between Senator Clinton and Senator Obama throughout the campaign, but in the past few days Hillary Clinton has made up my mind for me.

1. She wants the delegates from these two states when any idiot can see how unfair the vote was.

2. She says she will accept a primary do-over, but not a caucus do-over - whatever the state rules are - when any idiot following this election knows that she does badly in caucuses.

3. At least three times in the past two days and maybe more, she has praised Senator McCain while denigrating Senator Obama at the same time. The only takeaway from those statements I can conceive is that she would rather have a Republican president than any Democrat except her.

Senator Clinton, you just lost my vote.

Posted by: Jessie Landis on Mar 7, 2008 3:36:48 PM

Ronni,

That comment about campaigning in Florida was from me.

Sometimes I forget to fill in the name blanks. Sorry.

Posted by: Nancy on Mar 7, 2008 4:13:46 PM

Both Clinton and Obama are now in impossible positions.

If Clinton wants a do-over, she is cheating. If she opposes a do-over then she is turning her back on her supporters in those states by refusing to help them cast votes that will count.

As for Obama, if he wants or even agrees to a do-over then he demonstrates poor judgment by throwing away the lead he now holds. If he opposes a do-over, then he is an opportunist trying to capitalize on a fluke in the rules that gave him a lead he didn't earn.

So what is either of them supposed to do now?

Posted by: Pete on Mar 7, 2008 4:32:19 PM

Politics.

Posted by: Mage Bailey on Mar 7, 2008 5:48:48 PM

I really wish that Florida would stop making HUGE mistakes with elections. Can't we get a grown-up over there to make sure it runs correctly? I can't believe Florida left Senator Obama's name off the ballot!

Posted by: Peggy on Mar 8, 2008 1:20:26 AM

As far as I know, and I live in Florida, Senator Barack Obama's name was on the Primary ballot.

These are the results of that election:

With 96% of the votes counted:

Senator Clinton: 50%
Senator Obama: 33%
Senator Edwards: 14%

If Senator Obama's name was not on the ballot, how did he ever get 33% of the votes that were cast?

Posted by: Nancy on Mar 8, 2008 9:07:26 AM

Obama's name was left off the ballot in Michigan, not Florida.

Posted by: tamarika on Mar 8, 2008 9:27:44 AM


Perhaps I did not word my comments carefully enough. Sorry.

Anyway, I did know that Senator Obama's name was not on the ballot in Michigan,but that is not what I was responding to. I wanted to clear up Peggy's remarks re Florida making HUGE mistakes all the time and can't they get a grown up "Over there" to see that the elections run correctly.

The Primary Election here in Florida went off without a hitch and that is all I was trying to say.

Posted by: Nancy on Mar 8, 2008 11:24:41 AM


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