Elders and Driverless Cars
Wednesday, 07 January 2015
Also known as self-driving cars, robotic cars, piloted cars and autonomous cars, they are going to revolutionize travel, transportation, cities, life itself and eliminate a giant fear almost all elders share.
Unfortunately, it probably won't happen in time for me to benefit, but that doesn't mean I'm not excited about it all.
You wouldn't know it from mainstream media, but Google does not have a monopoly on these cars.
On Saturday, Audi's self-driving car left California and traveled 550 miles on public highways to Las Vegas to be there for the opening of this year's Consumer Electronics Show (CES) yesterday. The trip, reported Digital Trends,
”...takes place in two states that have explicitly legalized the testing of autonomous cars on public roads, eliminating any potential problems with the law.
“Nicknamed Jack, the 'piloted' (Audi’s term) self-driving A7 can do a lot on its own, but still needs human control in certain situations.
“However, the prototype can initiate lane changes and accelerate and brake autonomously. That means it can pass other vehicles on a highway without any intervention from the meat puppet in the driver’s seat.”
Beginning this week and continuing for 18 to 36 months, four locations in England will host tests of self-driving cars from a consortium that involves Ford, General Motors, Jaguar Land Rover and additional consultancies in various developmental roles. The BBC quoted Tim Armitage of the engineering firm, Arup:
"Our plan with the practical demonstration phases is to start testing with single vehicles on closed roads, and to build up to a point where all road users, as well as legislators, the police and insurance companies, are confident about how driverless pods and fully and partially autonomous cars can operate safely on UK roads,”
And of course, Google is moving forward with their driverless car, testing it in the San Francisco Bay area. Just recently, they let some everyday consumers try out a prototype. I've shown you this video before, but watch it again anyway – the enthusiasm is good to see:
Reporter Clive Thompson, in a story in the December 2014 issue of Smithsonian about how the horseless carriage revolutionized personal transportation more than a century ago, described what he believes this newest auto revolution might be like:
”Equipped with an array of sensors that scan nearby traffic and pedestrians with laserlike precision, a GPS-brokered sense of the road, and a slew of algorithms frantically working to avoid collisions, these cars – Google hopes – are the future of driving...
“Passengers could read, nap, watch movies or pick away on a laptop; new forms of car-sharing might emerge, since a vehicle could drop you off and then zip itself over a few blocks to pick someone else up. Cars could be stand-alone couriers. Indeed, we might see many cars empty of any humans at all...”
“...And if it comes to pass...”
Unlike Clive, I have no doubt driverless cars are on the way. At this point, it is just a matter of technology and the difficulties are certain to be worked out over time.
One of the biggest speed bumps appears to be insurance. Governments, insurance companies, actuaries, lawyers, car manufacturers and all kinds of others are quite busy trying to figure out who pays when something goes wrong – as inevitably will happen, except probably not as many crashes or injuries as nowadays.
Like the cars themselves, it will fall into place.
For me, who spends a lot of time thinking about all things aging, the most exciting part of driverless cars is that one day in the not too terribly distant future, no elder (or anyone else) will need to worry ever again about losing his or her independence the day he or she can no longer safely drive.
Aside from certain possible health problems, it is the single thing that frightens me most about my future.
UPDATE 5AM WEDNESDAY: An early report from the first day at CES in Las Vegas Tuesday aprovides more information about the proliferation of driverless cars.
"Raj Nair, the chief technical officer and global product chief at Ford, said at the International CES that he expected some manufacturer to introduce a completely autonomous vehicle — one that requires zero human intervention — within five years."
If the implication is supposed to be that you will be able to buy one in 2020 and drive it (well, let it drive you) anywhere, I doubt it. But, they're all working hard on the project. Ten automakers are exhibiting driverless cars of the future at CES - Volkswagen, Toyota and BMW among them.
However, the entire New York Times report, written by Molly Wood, concentrates only on the gee whiz aspects without a word about safety and usefulness. You can read the entire piece here.
At The Elder Storytelling Place today, Wendl Kornfeld: Permission to Die
Oh Ronni, I am giggling as I read today's post. My husband, Mr. Bruce, want one of these cars so bad he can taste it. He reads and watches everything he can about them. He saw coverage of the Audi.
He is 79 and wonders how long he will be able to drive. Couple of his friends have had their car keys taken away. Mr. Bruce thinks he couldn't handle not driving. I understand that, I haven't driven for years, miss it.
Posted by: Linda Crim | Wednesday, 07 January 2015 at 05:41 AM
Good observations, Ronni. I'd read about robot car developments, but not from the perspective of how they may benefit elders. Let's hope some of us are around to enjoy the new auto age.
Posted by: Gabbygeezer | Wednesday, 07 January 2015 at 06:41 AM
I wouldn't lose my independence IF I could afford the luxury of a robotic vehicle and I lived long enough to take advantage of that.
What about the realities of having a car take you where ever you choose being in the hands of one who has an automatic rifle and all the ammunition desired?
Sorry, with global terrorism and deranged individuals a constancy in our lives today--such a dream of a freedom we have not realized, gets dampened for me.
And, I don't like being one who sounds a negative tone to the possibilities, but I don't see a world gone mad for money and power having any thought of how to regulate any harmful aspects of anything coming down the road—pun not intended.
In the words of Shakespeare:
"The web of our life is of a mingled yarn, good and ill together."
Just call me Debbie Downer.
Posted by: S C Jones | Wednesday, 07 January 2015 at 06:54 AM
For years, my cousin who is a commercial pilot, has been telling me how redundant humans have become in the cockpit. Properly equipped, todays airliner can take off, cruise and land by itself. This all works great until something goes wrong and the intervention of an experienced pilot is needed. Pilots are given annual medical exams and are constantly being retrained no matter what their age. The question is,do we really want incapacitated or demented individuals hurtling down the highway at breakneck speeds when a tire blows out.
Posted by: Bruce Cooper | Wednesday, 07 January 2015 at 08:03 AM
While I can buy in to the vision of the value of self-driving cars, and might enjoy riding around in safe, isolated areas like the one in the video, it would be with a good deal of trepidation that I would ride in one on a busy highway, especially one with a lot of semis, hilly areas, or in less than ideal weather conditions. My need to feel in control, or feel extremely confident in the person behind the wheel, may be pathological and it would probably take a lot of work for me to become comfortable with this.
Posted by: Cathy Johnson | Wednesday, 07 January 2015 at 08:22 AM
A while back, I was driving on a freeway down near the Palo Alto area and encountered a Google Prius with the twirly on top. For the heck of it, I tried to keep up - that lasted only a few moments until the Google vehicle just zipped through traffic so quickly I could not keep up in my own Prius.
For a while, I didn't drive the freeways near Palo Alto...
;)
Seriously, this could well be the future of transportation. Nevertheless, I like to drive and would not relinquish control of the wheel without a fight.
Posted by: sflichen | Wednesday, 07 January 2015 at 08:54 AM
I am so excited for this innovation to become commonplace in our lives. I just hope I can afford to buy one of these miraculous vehicles.
Posted by: dkzody | Wednesday, 07 January 2015 at 09:00 AM
Looking at the future of our economy separated into the have-it-all and have-nots, where are they going to get enough paying customers for these wondrous machines? Remember the Popular Science cover that had us all flying helicopters to and fro?
Posted by: catherine summers | Wednesday, 07 January 2015 at 09:16 AM
I just might be around long enough to see this. It will make a huge difference to transport as we age!
Posted by: janinsanfran | Wednesday, 07 January 2015 at 09:27 AM
I was very skeptical at first but am gradually becoming more accepting of the idea. However, I'm such a control freak about driving, I can't imagine riding passively in heavy traffic while a computer does the driving.
Posted by: PiedType | Wednesday, 07 January 2015 at 10:49 AM
Born thirty years too soon.
Sounds wonderful, but it is still a machine and if something goes wrong I hope there is a human at the control who has rapid reflexes.
Posted by: Darlene | Wednesday, 07 January 2015 at 10:52 AM
As with anything there are sure to be pros and cons. Being able to get to the grocery store would be a big "pro" for me if/when I can no longer drive. However, I also share some of the hesitations expressed by TGB readers. Although we're improving, we still aren't very good at ensuring that criminals and psychotics don't have access to guns. Just imagine trying to determine who will be allowed to drive (or occupy) the car of the future--that is, if anyone except the superrich can afford one!
Posted by: Elizabeth Rogers | Wednesday, 07 January 2015 at 11:14 AM
I don't drive and this would be ideal for me..just don't like the fact criminals and thieves could jack the car with me thrown in the ditch..Technology and all..And the access to guns by criminal and thieves well if the police, sheriffs and law enforcement people can't get them you better believe the criminals and thieves have them..really!
Posted by: mary | Wednesday, 07 January 2015 at 11:19 AM
I have mixed feelings about it. I love driving and like to get out on the highway with the windows rolled down. I also suspect the affordability of such a vehicle would be beyond the reach of many retirees. New world coming.
Posted by: Celia | Wednesday, 07 January 2015 at 11:53 AM
Do not worry about the cost pf a self-drive car. In the future Medicaid will pay for everything. All you will need is an prescription. "1 Buick, PRN"
Posted by: Bruce Cooper | Wednesday, 07 January 2015 at 02:34 PM
Lovely stuff. I want a driverless truck. :)
Posted by: Mage Bailey | Wednesday, 07 January 2015 at 03:42 PM
I don't see how these cars will be able cope in a Canadian blizzard or its aftermath, or even on an unplowed suburban road.
I'm a skeptic and I love to be in the driver's seat, so the idea of a driverless car leaves me cold. But I'm a year from turning 60. I might feel differently at 79.
Posted by: Yvonne | Wednesday, 07 January 2015 at 03:56 PM
I'd have no problem giving up driving - if we had efficient, well-thought-out transportation systems that were timely, reliable and met within distance of 95% of where most of us want to go, I'm all for it. Too bad the automobile won, on all fronts.
Posted by: simone | Wednesday, 07 January 2015 at 07:28 PM
I don't see the security problems. Anyone who wants to steal a car is going to pick one that isn't constantly reporting its location. There are privacy issues but if I was unable to drive for age or medical reasons I would be willing to trade.
Posted by: Ian | Thursday, 08 January 2015 at 05:43 AM
As a control-freaky pilot, I never wanted to let George (an autopilot) do the flying for me. Working on automatic flight control systems, I was constantly amazed that we were designing systems that took so much autonomy from military aircraft drivers.
As a car driver, and absolutely hating the algorithm used in the auto-braking system of my current automobile (when in cruise control mode), I usually disable the darned thing. (It operates "on the safe side", making the system annoyingly conservative for me!) I am confident that by the time the auto-driven cars come to market, I will be sanguine about using one. I may cuss some of its idiosyncrasies, but I will feel safe.
Some people still use pencil and paper instead of computers. IMHO, those people who shun the auto-driven cars when they become available will be in the same class of Luddites.
Posted by: Cop Car | Thursday, 08 January 2015 at 02:32 PM
Hear, hear, Cop Car.
Posted by: Ronni Bennett | Thursday, 08 January 2015 at 02:54 PM
I'm so excited to see how this industry grows! I imagine this will reduce the number of accidents and subsequent injuries and fatalities as it becomes more prevalent as well. Remember when hardly anyone had cell phones? Let's see how long it takes for everyone to have a self-driving car!
Posted by: Kurt | Tuesday, 13 January 2015 at 04:58 PM